A Risk-based Framework for Climate Action in Singapore

Singapore Management University (SMU) is developing a novel approach to translate climate projections into policy. Its approach integrates Singapore’s V3 climate data into a Bayesian Belief Network to create a comprehensive risk assessment framework. 

This framework examines climate-driven impacts, assessing both cascading and compounding risks while accounting for changing risk profiles as per different Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. Green infrastructure plays a central role in the framework, allowing SMU to comprehensively map out effective adaptation strategies, identify critical path dependencies and preemptively mitigate the risks of maladaptation.

By quantifying risks and mapping out adaptation pathways, the framework can translate science into action.